Showing posts with label MCC. Show all posts
Showing posts with label MCC. Show all posts

Wednesday, December 10, 2014

Why Medals?

Ever since I argued with badon on the Chinese Coin Forum and Live Business Chat about the differences between coins and medals, I myself have gradually gravitated towards medals, including brass ones. I received some inquiries on my shift of attitude and position. Instead of answering individually, I hope this post can shed some light on my current understanding of medals vs. coins. Comments are welcome.

Unlike badon, who denies any difference between fiat coins and non-fiat medals, I do see a difference between them. So I still call a coin a coin, and a medal a medal. But (and this is a big "but"), in terms of the precious metal coins issued by PRC after 1979 (MCC), the difference is minimal and nominal. MCCs were never issued for circulation. Instead, they have been produced as "artwork for collection" (from Mr. Zhu Dechun, regarded as father of MCC). In that sense, they are not very different from medals made for the same purpose. (One of the mistakes in MCC collection is to compare MCCs to precious metal coins issued for circulation in the US. This mistake led to many false analogies between the two, in terms of mintage, grade rarity, and predictions of price trends, among others. I really want to emphasize that these two are fundamentally different, as one was meant for circulation, and the other mainly artwork for collection. If anything, MCCs should be compared to the little known precious metal commemorative coins in the US, which were first released in 1892 and the collection of which has not been very popular.)

The main arguments against medal collection include 1) medals are not officially protected and can be counterfeited without punishment; 2) medals lag behind coins in price appreciation. Let's examine these arguments one by one.

First, coins, whether circulating ones or MCCs, are not immune to counterfeiting. Even newly issued circulating commemorative coins with a street value of 15 Yuan ($2.5) are faked. Fake coins are sold on the Chinese Taobao site with no sign of pending official punishment. Punishment for coin counterfeiting has largely remained as a theoretical deterrent, but has so far failed to be effectively implemented. The reason may be that commemorative coins, whether of base metal or of previous metal, are not in circulation and so their faking poses no threat to the financial system, while counterfeiting of large face value paper notes is treated seriously, as the latter are real medium of exchange in life. Whatever the reason, it is a cold fact that MCCs have not been better protected than medals against counterfeiting.

If we look beyond modern Chinese coins and medals, we will see that counterfeiting has not stopped people from collecting/investing in the pre-1949 coins. Coins made from all types of metal, copper, silver and gold, between the time when milled coins were first introduced to China in the late 19th century, up to 1949, are counterfeited recklessly as there is virtually no protection for them. Dies to make Fat Man coins are openly available on Taobao. Cheap fakes flood the market, including eBay. And yet, due to the pioneering work of early collectors, foreigners included, collection of "old silver round" as they are known in China has been the most popular and advanced numismatic category among Chinese coin collection, with detailed studies of their varieties and huge price gaps between high grade coins – phenomena observable in US coin collection. It was no coincidence that the "old silver round" was the first numismatic category to embrace coin grading in China. With the help of grading companies, the risk of running into fake coins is greatly reduced if not totally eliminated, as long as one insists on buying graded specimens.

Second, it is true that many medals have not appreciated in value as fast as coins. I used the example of the Xinjiang silver coin vs. medal in my argument against medals when I first brought up the issue with badon. This is due to the smaller number of medal collectors in the past. "Medals are lesser than coins", a motto among some Chinese collectors, becomes a self-fulfilling prophesy. Because medals are regarded as having less investment value, fewer collect them, which in turn reduces the demand and drags down the price. However, even with the small number of collectors, the top rarities among medals have not lost to coins in the same ranking in price appreciation. Here is a comparison of top silver coins and medals in a fixed time frame. They are priced in the Chinese Yuan.

  
 (I am comparing top small size silver coins with top medals because I do not keep track of prices of large size coins. Those familiar with large size coins can do a similar comparison. Large size silver coins are not in my range of collection.)

It is obvious that in terms of price appreciation, top silver medals have outrun top small size silver coins. The Jianzhen silver medal set has an even higher rate - close to 40x price growth since December, 2007. Of course, not all the medals appreciate as rapidly. The 1987 Long Beach Expo silver medal, which sold 100 Yuan more than the Jianzhen set at the same auction run by the Oriental Auction House in 2007, has appreciated only slightly in price. Rarity plays a crucial role in price appreciation among medals due to the smaller collector base. The sharp contrast in price appreciation between the top medals and more common ones reveals the profile of current medal collectors: a small number of advanced, well-to-do individuals who collect both coins and medals alike and are relentlessly in pursuit of the rarest medals.

In addition to past price appreciation, we should bear in mind the possibility that the self-fulfilling prophesy "medals are lesser than coins" may be abandoned by new MCC collectors, thus pushing the price of the currently undervalued medals way up. Collectors of the recent Chinese Classical Garden series medals are mostly MCC collectors, too. Is it a sign that the trend is starting to turn?

Finally, as artwork, officially minted medals tend to stand out over coins. Coins are strictly controlled in their theme, design, artistic style, technology and time to market. Low relief is typically required on coins made in large quantity, for example. In comparison, the same mint artists designing medals have a lot more freedom to themselves. Zeng Chenghu spent over a year (on and off) working on his hand-engraved Pagodas, and Bai Wenjun spent nearly a year on his hand-engraved medal set Plum, Orchid, Bamboo and Chrysanthemum. The recently released Chinese Classical Gardens series employed techniques unparalleled in coins, such as double-sided deep dish and ultra-high relief. Some of the most artistically sophisticated artwork exists only in the form of copper medals, such as the hand-engraved Guilin Scenery set. Of course there are exquisitely made MCCs (the first series of lunars, for example) and poorly made medals, especially those commissioned by organizations or individuals. But overall the consensus is that medals are artistically more appealing.

Enjoying wonderful artwork, nice price appreciation, the vanity of owning and bragging about top rarities, with the possibility of a huge price breakout in the future – what can be a more fulfilling experience in numismatic collection and investment?



Tuesday, April 29, 2014

Research Report on the Actual Mintage of Some Modern Chinese Gold and Silver Coins


By Rongli Culture Research Institute
 http://bbs.jibi.net/dispbbs.asp?boardid=70&id=228264&page=9&star=1

For a long time, the actual mintage of modern gold and silver coins has been reached based on a combination of market availability and data like early factory records and annuals of official mints. After the Rongli Culture Research Institute (“Rongli Institute”) was organized, China Gold Coin Incorporation provided it with strong support and valuable information, including some data on actual mintage. After further communications with China Gold Coin Incorporation, it was learned that the following considerations delayed the release of actual mintage information: first, the People’s Bank of China has strict regulations on information regarding Renminbi. The People’s Bank of China publishes bulletins on mintages when gold and silver coins are released. As a result, China Gold Coin Incorporation is required to seek approval from the People’s Bank of China before such data can be disclosed; secondly, China Gold Coin Incorporation discovered significant divergence between much of its data and those published by the mints. The Rongli Institute is publishing a small amount of actual mintage data which have been verified as accurate, to answer some long time questions from collectors. There is still a lot of data to be verified by China Gold Coin Incorporation with the mints. Hopefully, after some time, China Gold Coin Incorporation will release to all of us actual mintage numbers which are authoritative, accurate and systematic.



Name Planned Mintage Actual Mintage
1993 Yandi 5oz gold coin 99 23
1993 Song Qingling Sitting silver coin 20000 1003
1993 Sun Yat-sen 1oz gold coin① 8888 3290
1993 Definition of Zero 5oz silver coin 3000 5
1993 Guanyin gold coin set 1000 976
1993 Mao Zedong 5oz gold coin 100 103
1993 Song Qingling Standing silver coin 2000 2003
Ox Lantern gold coin (Unearthed Artifacts II) 500 475
1993 Marco Polo 5oz gold coin 99 104
1993 Marco Polo 5oz silver coin 1500 1504
1993 Panda 12oz gold coin 99 70
Stirrup gold coin (Ancient Inventions and Discoveries II) 1200 809
Taiji Yin Yang gold coin (Ancient Inventions and Discoveries II) 1200 829
Umbrella gold coin(Ancient Inventions and Discoveries II) 1200 795
Definition of Zero gold coin (Ancient Inventions and Discoveries II) 1200 797
Terracotta Army gold coin (Ancient Inventions and Discoveries II) 1200 796
1993Brown Bear 5oz silver coin 1500 1053
1993 Yin Yang (Fu, Lu, Shou) 1oz gold coin 888 745
1993 Peacock 20oz silver coin 500 585
Seismograph kilo silver coin (Ancient Inventions and Discoveries I) 250 56
Kite kilo silver coin (Ancient Inventions and Discoveries I) 250 55
Ancient Ship Building kilo silver coin (Ancient Inventions and Discoveries I) 250 55
Compass kilo silver coin (Ancient Inventions and Discoveries I) 250 55
Bronze Age Urn kilo silver coin (Ancient Inventions and Discoveries I) 250 55
Compass kilo gold coin (Ancient Inventions and Discoveries I) 10 10
Seismograph kilo gold coin (Ancient Inventions and Discoveries I) 10 11
Compass piedfort silver coin (Ancient Inventions and Discoveries I) 2500 1353
Seismograph piedfort silver coin (Ancient Inventions and Discoveries I) 2500 1353
Mountain Sheep gold coin 5000 2710
Wu Zetian gold coin 25000 2554
Monkey King 1/10 oz gold coin (Traditional Culture II) 16000 574
Genghis Khan 1/10 oz gold coin (Traditional Culture II) 16000 594
Acrobat 1/10 oz gold coin (Traditional Culture II) 16000 569
Zhuangzi 1/10 oz gold coin (Traditional Culture II) 16000 579
Bao He Palace 1/10 oz gold coin (Traditional Culture II) 16000 849
White Dolphin 1/2 oz gold coin 30000 1005
White Dolphin 5oz gold coin 188 102
Celebration of Spring II 5oz gold coin 128 34
1994 Unicorn kilo gold coin 18 20
Porcelain Crafting gold coin (Ancient Inventions and Discoveries IV) 1200 380
Gun Powder gold coin (Ancient Inventions and Discoveries IV) 1200 373
Wei Qi gold coin (Ancient Inventions and Discoveries IV) 1200 377
Block Printing gold coin (Ancient Inventions and Discoveries IV) 1200 375
Acupuncture gold coin (Ancient Inventions and Discoveries IV) 1200 383
Liu Bei and Kong Ming 1oz gold coin (Three Kingdoms I) 1500 996
Guan Yu and Zhang Fei 1oz gold coin (Three Kingdoms I) 1500 1004
1995 Panda 5oz gold+2oz silver 199 176
1995 Dragon Boat 5oz silver coin 1000 455
1995 Feng Zhou Sailing Ship gold coin 1000 291
1995 Cao Fang Sailing Ship gold coin 1000 293
1998 Guanyin 1/2 oz silver coin 10000 1505
1997 Panda Bi-metal set 2800 835
1997 Panda 5oz gold+2oz silver 199 54
Fa Xian’s Journey gold coin (Silk Road III) 10000 297
Qi Baishi Squirrel and Grapes 1oz silver coin 11800 3505
Qi Baishi kilo gold coin 25 12
1996 Unicorn kilo gold coin② 18 16





Notes:
   The order was probably not fully filled.
② Including two varieties: the 2000 Yuan Unicorn Head and the 150 Yuan error coin made with the silver coin die.













































































































































































































Saturday, November 3, 2012

Welcome!

 The purpose of my blog is to provide information to non-Chinese speaking MCC (modern Chinese coins) collectors.

MCCs are gaining more and more popularity among non-Chinese speaking collectors and investors, because of their exquisite designs, interesting cultural themes and outstanding wealth preservation results. But non-Chinese speaking fans of MCC face the formidable language barrier, which blocks them from numismatic and market information in China, as most tools, websites, books and reference materials are written in Chinese. English websites and reference materials dedicated to MCC are few and far in between. Most English speaking people depend on the few English resources, such as the Chinese Coin Forum and Peter Anthony's book for guidance. They have a long and tough learning curve, and may be subject to scams.

I am a newbie to MCC collection, running into the hobby only in late 2011. But by reading widely in Chinese and engaging in discussions with fellow MCC collectors in China, I managed to step around the wasteful pitfalls and set my course straight from the very beginning. My own collection is still very small, that of a newbie without a deep pocket, but I know how to proceed with MCC and can spot a gem when it appears. I am grateful to the top MCC collectors who shared their experience/setbacks and insight in MCC related topics, such as Wangdian, who shared his ups and downs in MCC collection, and Huang Ruiyong (Olive) and Ge Zukang, who provide excellent references through their long and hard research. I feel that it is my turn to spread the MCC information further, to non-Chinese speaking MCC fans. I am uniquely equipped for this mission. I have been translating between English and Chinese for the past 15 years. In this blog, I will focus on providing information in English which already exists in Chinese. My personal comments and thoughts will be limited, as I am still a newbie with much to learn. There will be no picks or recommendations, as I believe all the information is there.

If you find this blog interesting, please bookmark it and come back often. Happy collecting!